Thursday, February 5, 2015

Wednesday, February 4, 2015

Final Snow Report Feb 2-4 2015


Snowfall Reports
CountyStation NameSnowfall
Big Horn26 E Lovell3.5
Big HornBone Springs Divide Snotel3
Big HornShell Creek Snotel3
Big HornBald Mountain Snotel2
Big HornShell1.5
Big Horn2 SSW Lovell1.5
Big HornBasin1
Big HornLovell1
Fremont10 W Dubois9.5
FremontBrooks Lake9
FremontLittle Warm Snotel7
FremontCastle Creek Snotel6
FremontCold Springs Snotel6
FremontBurroughs Creek Snotel5
FremontDeer Park Snotel5
FremontDubois5
FremontHudson4.5
FremontRiverton4-4.2
FremontAtlantic City4
FremontSouth Pass Snotel4
FremontLander Airport3.4
FremontLander2-3.3
Fremont6 SW Lander3.1
FremontHobbs Park Snotel3
FremontRiverton Airport3
FremontBurris3
Fremont7 WNW Lander2.3
Fremont7 ESE Kinnear2
FremontTownsend Creek Snotel2
FremontSt. Lawrence Alt Snotel2
Fremont10 NW Riverton2
Fremont9 S Lander2
Fremont9 SSE Lander1.5
Fremont6 SE Lander1.5
Fremont15 W Jeffrey City1
FremontBoysen Dam1
Hot SpringsThermopolis3.2
Hot SpringsOwl Creek Snotel3
Hot Springs9 NE Thermopolis2.6
Hot SpringsKirby2.5
JohnsonBear Trap Meadow Snotel5
JohnsonHansen Sawmill Snotel4
Johnson1 NW Buffalo4
JohnsonLittle Goose Snotel3
JohnsonSoldier Park Snotel2
JohnsonKaycee2
JohnsonCloud Peak Reservoir Snotel2
Johnson17 E Kaycee1.8
JohnsonBuffalo1.2
LincolnWillow Creek Snotel16
LincolnSpring Creek Divide Snotel14
LincolnCottonwood Creek Snotel13
LincolnBlind Bull Summit12
LincolnIndian Creek Snotel11
LincolnBlind Bull Summit Snotel10
LincolnSalt River Summit Snotel8
LincolnCommissary Ridge8
LincolnHams Fork Snotel7
LincolnKelley Ranger Station Snotel7
LincolnBox Y Ranch2
Lincoln2 SE Thayne0.7
LincolnAfton0.5
NatronaReno Hill Snotel6
NatronaGrave Spring Snotel6
NatronaPowder River5
NatronaCasper4
Natrona5 SSW Casper3.5
NatronaMidwest3-3.5
Natrona10 WSW Casper3
NatronaCasper Airport2.9
NatronaCasper Mountain Snotel1
ParkBlackwater Snotel6
Park3 NE Sunshine5.1
ParkTimber Creek Snotel5
ParkMeeteetse4-4.5
Park8 WSW Meeteetse4
ParkKirwin Snotel4
ParkWolverine Snotel3
ParkEvening Star Snotel3
Park26 SW Cody2.5
ParkMarquette Snotel2
ParkPahaska2
Park3 W Wapiti1.6
Park2 WSW Cody1.5
Park1 W Cody1.5
Park5 ESE Cody1.5
ParkCody1.3
Park3 NE Clark0.5
SubletteTriple Peak Snotel17
SubletteGunsite Pass Snotel10
SubletteLoomis Park Snotel10
SubletteSnider Basin Snotel9
SubletteBig Sandy Opening Snotel8
SublettePocket Creek Snotel8
SubletteKendall Ranger Station Snotel7
SubletteLarsen Creek Snotel7
Sublette15 WNW Daniel7
SubletteNew Fork Lake Snotel6
SubletteDaniel6
SubletteElkhart Park G.S. Snotel6
SubletteDaniel Fish Hatchery5.2
SubletteEast Rim Divide Snotel5
Sublette14 NW Pinedale4
Sublette1 N Pinedale3.5
SublettePinedale3.2
SubletteBoulder Rearing Station1
SubletteBig Piney1
TetonPhillips Bench Snotel20
TetonGrand Targhee Snotel18
TetonTogwotee Pass Snotel14
TetonJackson Hole - Mid Mountain13
TetonJackson Hole - Rendezvous Bowl13
TetonJackson Hole - Raymer13
TetonGros Ventre Summit Snotel11
TetonGranite Creek Snotel11
TetonGrassy Lake Snotel10
TetonBase Camp Snotel9
TetonGrand Targhee - Chief Joseph9
TetonTogwotee Mountain Lodge8
TetonSnake River Stn Snotel5
TetonJackson Hole - Base4
Teton1 ENE Teton Village3.5
TetonMoose3
Teton12 NE Jackson2.5
TetonSnow King2
Teton12 NE Jackson2
TetonJackson1
WashakiePowder River Pass Snotel6
Washakie16 SSE Ten Sleep3.5
WashakieMiddle Powder Snotel3
WashakieTen Sleep2.3
Washakie5 NNW Ten Sleep1.1
Washakie8 SW Worland1
YellowstoneTwo Ocean Plateau Snotel8
YellowstoneLewis Lake Divide Snotel6
YellowstoneParker Peak Snotel4
YellowstoneEast Entrance Ranger Station3.5
YellowstoneSylvan Road Snotel3
YellowstoneCanyon Snotel3
YellowstoneSylvan Lake Snotel2
YellowstoneOld Faithful Ranger Station1.5
YellowstoneThumb Divide Snotel1
YellowstoneTower Falls Ranger Station1
YellowstoneLamar Ranger Station0.5

Tuesday, February 3, 2015

Storm Snow Totals as of 5 PM Tuesday

UBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
513 PM MST TUE FEB 3 2015

THE SECOND ROUND OF SNOW OCCURRED MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL
WYOMING. HERE ARE SOME OF THOSE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

LOCATION                             SNOWFALL
LINCOLN COUNTY...
 WILLOW CREEK SNOTEL...              12 INCHES.
 BLIND BULL SUMMIT...                 7 INCHES.
 COTTONWOOD CREEK SNOTEL...           7 INCHES.
 BLIND BULL SUMMIT SNOTEL...          7 INCHES.
 COMMISSARY RIDGE...                  5 INCHES.
 SPRING CREEK DIVIDE SNOTEL...        4 INCHES.
 BOX Y RANCH...                       4 INCHES.
 SALT RIVER SUMMIT SNOTEL...          3 INCHES.
 KELLEY RANGER STATION SNOTEL...      3 INCHES.
 STAR VALLEY RANCH                    2 INCHES 
 5 SSE SMOOT...                       1 INCH.
 HAMS FORK SNOTEL...                  1 INCH.
 INDIAN CREEK SNOTEL...               1 INCH.
 3 SE BEDFORD...                    0.5 INCHES.
 2 SE THAYNE...                     0.2 INCHES.
BIG HORN COUNTY... BONE SPRINGS DIVIDE SNOTEL... 4 INCHES. BALD MOUNTAIN SNOTEL... 3 INCHES. FREMONT COUNTY... BROOKS LAKE... 4 INCHES. BURROUGHS CREEK SNOTEL... 3 INCHES. HOT SPRINGS COUNTY... OWL CREEK SNOTEL... 1 INCH. JOHNSON COUNTY... LITTLE GOOSE SNOTEL... 1 INCH. CLOUD PEAK RESERVOIR SNOTEL... 1 INCH. SOLDIER PARK SNOTEL... 1 INCH. HANSEN SAWMILL SNOTEL... 1 INCH. NATRONA COUNTY... GRAVE SPRING SNOTEL... 1 INCH. PARK COUNTY... BLACKWATER SNOTEL... 7 INCHES. BEARTOOTH LAKE SNOTEL... 4 INCHES. KIRWIN SNOTEL... 1 INCH. WOLVERINE SNOTEL... 1 INCH. PAHASKA... 1 INCH. EVENING STAR SNOTEL... 1 INCH. MARQUETTE SNOTEL... 1 INCH. SUBLETTE COUNTY... GUNSITE PASS SNOTEL... 5 INCHES. SNIDER BASIN SNOTEL... 5 INCHES. TRIPLE PEAK SNOTEL... 5 INCHES. ELKHART PARK G.S. SNOTEL... 4 INCHES. NEW FORK LAKE SNOTEL... 3 INCHES. LOOMIS PARK SNOTEL... 3 INCHES. 14 NW PINEDALE... 1.4 INCHES. EAST RIM DIVIDE SNOTEL... 1 INCH. KENDALL RANGER STATION SNOTEL... 1 INCH. BIG SANDY OPENING SNOTEL... 1 INCH. PINEDALE... 0.2 INCHES. DANIEL FISH HATCHERY... 0.2 INCHES. TETON COUNTY... PHILLIPS BENCH SNOTEL... 9 INCHES. JACKSON HOLE - RAYMER... 7.5 INCHES. GRASSY LAKE SNOTEL... 7 INCHES. GRAND TARGHEE SNOTEL... 5 INCHES. JACKSON HOLE - MID MOUNTAIN... 5 INCHES. JACKSON HOLE - RENDEZVOUS BOWL... 5 INCHES. GRAND TARGHEE - CHIEF JOSEPH... 3 INCHES. TOGWOTEE MOUNTAIN LODGE... 3 INCHES. TOGWOTEE PASS SNOTEL... 3 INCHES. MOOSE 0.4 SOUTH... 3 INCHES. GRANITE CREEK SNOTEL... 3 INCHES. JACKSON HOLE - BASE... 2 INCHES. SNOW KING... 2 INCHES. MOOSE... 1.6 INCHES. 12 NE JACKSON... 1 INCH. SNAKE RIVER STN SNOTEL... 1 INCH. 2 NE TETON VILLAGE... 1 INCH. BASE CAMP SNOTEL... 1 INCH. GROS VENTRE SUMMIT SNOTEL... 1 INCH. YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK... LEWIS LAKE DIVIDE SNOTEL... 7 INCHES. TWO OCEAN PLATEAU SNOTEL... 7 INCHES. PARKER PEAK SNOTEL... 6 INCHES. YELLOWSTONE EAST ENTRANCE... 1.5 INCHES. SYLVAN LAKE SNOTEL... 1 INCH. THUMB DIVIDE SNOTEL... 1 INCH. CANYON SNOTEL... 1 INCH.

Sunday, February 1, 2015

Snow and Possibly Rain Return to Star Valley

After a basically snowless two weeks the later half of January, Star Valley is seeing to a return of more typical mid-winter conditions.  Snow is being reported from much of Northwest Wyoming including Star Valley this Sunday evening. A flow of moist Pacific air has spread across the Pacific Northwest into northwest Wyoming, and will continue for the next 3 days.  The real question is where will the snow level be at during the event as the air mass is relatively warm for February.

There is considerable confidence that substantial precipitation  will occur from Star Valley northward to Yellowstone Park with a couple feet of snow in the higher mountains. The latest computer model forecast precipitation for the next 3 days  clearly focuses the precipitation in this area.

72 Hour total precipitation ending Wednesday evening Feb 4 2015

 The 500mb wind pattern shows the flow from off the Pacific with the cold air remaining well to the north and east of Western Wyoming.

500mb analysis Sunday evening Feb 1 2015

A forecast of the vertical profile of  temperature and moisture over Star Valley for Tuesday evening show the deep moisture and strong westerly flow, along with the freezing level about 7500 feet.

model sounding over Star Valley Tue pm Feb 3 2015
This moist and relatively warm profile support snow either mixing with rain at times or possibly turning to rain over the next 3 days.  Nevertheless there is potential for significant amount of wet snow, particularly higher elevations of the Valley,  near or above 6500 feet.

The NWS forecasters at the Weather Prediction Center provide a 72 hour accumulation of snow ending Wednesday evening.  They are predicting a 50 percent chance of well over a foot in the higher elevations from Star Valley to Yellowstone NP. Near 2 feet is being forecast for locations such as the Tetons and possibly the northern Wyoming and Salt Ranges as well.



Thursday, January 29, 2015

Initial Wyoming Spring Flood Potential Outlook

Initial January 2015 Wyoming Spring Flood Potential Outlook----issued January 26, 2015

Quick Synopsis:

Mountain snowpack and associated snow water equivalents (SWEs) across Wyoming were generally near average by late January.  SWEs at the peak snowmelt runoff elevations (8,000’ – 9.500’) were the highest across northwestern Wyoming at 110 to 120 percent of median; while across southern Wyoming, SWEs were 70 to 80 percent of median at the peak snowmelt runoff elevations.

This outlook is based on various diverse hydrological factors such as snow water equivalents (SWEs) in the mountain snowpack, basin morphology (i.e. how basins respond to snowmelt),  amount of bark beetle kill, low elevation snow depths, and likely temperature and precipitation trends during late spring/early summer. 

HIGHLIGHTS:

Low to Moderate potential for flooding associated with snowmelt is expected across various headwater streams along eastern portions of the Big Horn Basin.  Streams with the highest potential for flooding include Medicine Lodge Creek, Ten Sleep Creek (Ten Sleep), and portions of the  Nowood River…

Low to Moderate potential for flooding associated with snowmelt (due to current snow depths) is expected along portions of Hot Springs County…

…All other of headwater basins across Wyoming can expect a generallyLow potential for flooding due to springtime snowmelt...

The next graphical outlook will be issued around the 25th of February. 

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The current Wyoming Spring 2015 Snowmelt Runoff Flood Potential Outlook graphic:



Saturday, January 24, 2015

California Drought Going From Bad to Worse

Drought conditions across California are just getting worse as exceptionally warm and dry weather is expected through the remainder of January 2015.  Following is a blog posted by Dr. Jeff Masters of Weather Underground summarizing the conditions.

California Drought Worsening During Height of Rainy Season

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 9:10 PM GMT on January 23, 2015
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The Western U.S. winter rainy season has reached its halfway point, and there is only bad news to report for drought-beleaguered California. November through March marks the period when California receives its heaviest rains and snows, thanks to the wintertime path of the jet stream, which dips to the south and brings wet Pacific low pressure systems to the state. The rainy season started out promisingly, with several December storms bringing precipitation amounts close to average for the month over much of the state. Troublingly, though, record-warm ocean temperatures off of the coast meant that the December storms were unusually warm. This resulted in snow falling only at very high elevations, keeping the critical Sierra snow pack much lower than usual. The jet stream pattern shifted during January 2015, bringing disastrously dry conditions to the state. January usually brings 4.19" of rain to San Francisco, but no rain at all has fallen in January 2015 in the city--or over much of Central California. The dryness has been accompanied by near-record warmth at higher elevations in the Sierras, with temperatures at Blue Canyon and South Lake Tahoe averaging nearly 8°F above average for the month of January. As a result, the snowpack in the Sierras--a critical reservoir of water that is used throughout the rest of the year--is abysmally low, running about 30% of normal for this time of year. California's eight largest reservoirs are 33% - 86% below their historical average, and the portion of the state covered by the highest level of drought expanded in mid-January--a very ominous occurrence for the height of the rainy season. 


Figure 1. The Enterprise Bridge passes over a section of Lake Oroville that was nearly dry on September 30, 2014, in Oroville, California. Lake Oroville, California's 2nd largest reservoir, was at 49% of average(30% of capacity), the second lowest level on record (behind 1977.) Heavy rains in December 2014 allowed lake levels to recover slightly--as of January 23, 2015 Lake Oroville was at its 7th lowest level of the past 35 years. Image credit: California Department of Water Resources.


Figure 2. The same view of Lake Oroville in happier times: July 20, 2011. (Paul Hames/California Department of Water Resources/Getty Images) 

The forecast: hot and dry
An intense ridge of high pressure will build in over California this weekend, bringing near-record high temperatures in the low to mid-70s to San Francisco. The all-time hottest January temperature in San Francisco of 73°F, set just last year, could fall on Sunday. The ridge of high pressure will stay entrenched over California during the remainder of January, bringing continued dry conditions. A weak upper-level low pressure system will bring a few rain showers to the state beginning this Tuesday, but rainfall amounts will be generally less than 1/2"--an insignificant drop in a very large, dry bucket. With long-range models showing no shift in the jet stream pattern through the first week of February, California may be on its way to a fourth consecutive bone-dry rainy season--pushing the state into an increasingly dire drought situation.


Figure 3. Time series of the change in drought conditions in California from January 28, 2014 through January 22, 2015. The area covered by the worst category of drought--"Exceptional"--peaked at 58% during the summer of 2014. In December 2014, "Exceptional" drought coverage fell to 32%, thanks to heavy rains, but this area increased again to 39% in mid-January 2015 due to unusual dryness. Image credit: drought.gov.

Related blog post: The State of the California Drought: Still Very Bad, January 13, 2015, by water resources expert Dr. Peter Gleick of the Pacific Institute.