Monday, September 29, 2014

Summary of the Weekend Rainstorm

Significant Rain Across the State This Weekend

The Riverton WFO has provided a summary of the Widespread significant rainstorm over the weekend.

At Star Valley Ranch a total of 2.27 inches fell from Friday night to Monday evening. This brings the total at Star Valley Ranch since Sept 1st to 8.06 and 26.56 since Jan 1st.  Going back to the total precipitation that has fallen at Star Valley Ranch since Sept 1 2013 there has been an impressive 38.05 inches.









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Shelf cloud over Green River courtesy of Eric NielsenStar Valley - Photo Courtesy of Dave Hunt


A large storm system moved across the western United States this weekend, depositing a significant amount of rain as it slowly moved northeast. Rain began affecting our western border with Idaho as early as Friday, with rain eventually moving east of the Divide on Saturday with waves of rain and embedded thunderstorms moving across the region through Monday.


Max Temp July 4th
 Click Loop To Enlarge
The GOES-W Water Vapor Satellite Loop (Above) showed a large upper level low pressure system spinning atop much of the western United States throughout the weekend before it finally lifted out on Monday.



     


Weekend Rainfall Totals
Click Image To Enlarge
Click here to see the full set of observed rainfall totals 
  All stations listed below accumulated more than one inch of rain over the 72 hour period ending Monday night (Sept 29th).

72 Hour Rainfall Totals 1 Inch or Greater
LocationCounty, STElev72 Hr Pcpn (in.)
N. FORK LITTLE WIND RIVERFremont, WY61204.09
PINE CREEK ABOVE FREMONT LAKESublette, WY74803.87
21 W BIG PINEYSublette, WY82003.30
PORTABLE RAWSSublette, WY85033.02
15 NE COKEVILLELincoln, WY84702.92
13 E COKEVILLELincoln, WY74602.82
KEMMERERLincoln, WY69802.79
FOSSIL BUTTELincoln, WY67802.78
PINEDALESublette, WY73102.74
7 NE PINEDALESublette, WY85302.59
9 E BIG PINEYSublette, WY68032.54
10 NNW DANIELSublette, WY74702.47
BONDURANTSublette, WY66872.47
2 NW BONDURANTSublette, WY67262.45
BONDURANTSublette, WY66502.41
SMITHS FORK NEAR BORDER                             
                                               
          
Lincoln, WY66502.38
AFTONLincoln, WY62672.12
PORTABLE RAWSSublette, WY83782.07
10 W FORT WASHAKIEFremont, WY92351.96
COKEVILLELincoln, WY61911.96
MIDDLE FORK POPO AGIE RIVERFremont, WY65551.92
BOULDER LAKESublette, WY73501.91
NORTH FORK POPO AGIE RIVERFremont, WY57601.83
N WIND RIVER MTSFremont, WY88331.79
THAYNELincoln, WY59281.72
CROWHEARTFremont, WY60991.71
11 N DUBOISFremont, WY87501.70
13 W CROWHEARTFremont, WY96301.70
LANDER AIRPORTFremont, WY55861.61
JACKSONTeton, WY62401.60
14 WSW MAMMOTHPark, WY79001.60
11 W CROWHEARTFremont, WY65201.57
10 SE CROWHEARTFremont, WY56541.57
3 NW ETNALincoln, WY56921.55
9 SW LANDERFremont, WY70851.54
8 NNE MORAN JUNCTIONTeton, WY70301.50
KIRWIN SNOTELPark, WY95501.50
7 NW LANDERFremont, WY57971.47
6 S ALPINELincoln, WY56761.40
4 SW LANDERFremont, WY58071.40
15 SE ROCK SPRINGSSweetwater, WY75501.37
ETNALincoln, WY58231.37
ROCK SPRINGSSweetwater, WY62701.36
4 NE THAYNELincoln, WY62171.35
EXTREME SW YELLOWSTONETeton, WY64001.35
HOBACK JUNCTIONTeton, WY59281.29
JACKSONTeton, WY62471.27
4 N MOOSETeton, WY67301.27
MARBLETONSublette, WY68961.25
ALTATeton, WY64301.24
3 E FORT WASHAKIEFremont, WY55281.21
GARDNER RIVER NR MAMMOTH, YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARKPark, MT56241.20
3 SSW JACKSONTeton, WY61581.18
5 S OF SOUTH ENTRANCE YNPTeton, WY70201.18
ROCK SPRINGS AIRPORTSweetwater, WY67601.13
MAMMOTHPark, WY63001.13
10 W DUBOISFremont, WY84321.02
OLD FAITHFULTeton, WY73201.02
15 NNE GRAND TARGHEETeton, WY68301.00
15 ESE POINT OF ROCKSSweetwater, WY67200.99
9 N KEMMERERLincoln, WY71290.99

Rainfall Totals for Western Wyoming Friday through Monday Sept 26-29 2014

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
314 PM MDT MON SEP 29 2014

...LATEST 72 HOUR RAINFALL REPORTS FOR WESTERN AND
CENTRAL WYOMING...

HERE ARE THE LATEST RAINFALL REPORTS FROM NOON
FRIDAY THROUGH NOON TODAY...SEPTEMBER 29TH. THIS
STATEMENT HAS BEEN CORRECTED FOR MISSING AND
SUSPECT DATA.

...LATEST 72 HOUR RAINFALL REPORTS...

LOCATION                       AMOUNT    TIME/DATE

...WYOMING...
...LINCOLN...
4.9 SSE SMOOT                  2.82 IN   0700 AM 09/29
KEMMERER                       2.80 IN   0200 PM 09/29
15 NE COKEVILLE                2.70 IN   0100 PM 09/29
20.5 NNW KEMMERER              2.67 IN   0700 AM 09/29
13 E COKEVILLE                 2.55 IN   0130 PM 09/29
3.3 SW AFTON                   2.41 IN   0700 AM 09/29
SMITHS FORK NEAR BORDER        2.40 IN   0130 PM 09/29
AFTON                          2.11 IN   0159 PM 09/29
AFTON - COOP                   2.06 IN   0800 AM 09/29
COKEVILLE                      1.93 IN   0159 PM 09/29
STAR VALLEY RANCH  E           1.90 IN   0700 AM 09/29
STAR VALLEY RANCH 0.3 WNW      1.84 IN   0700 AM 09/29
1.5 SE THAYNE                  1.80 IN   0700 AM 09/29
THAYNE                         1.64 IN   0149 PM 09/29
3 NW ETNA                      1.52 IN   0155 PM 09/29
6 S ALPINE                     1.41 IN   0130 PM 09/29
4 NE THAYNE                    1.34 IN   0157 PM 09/29
ETNA                           1.34 IN   0146 PM 09/29
9 N KEMMERER                   0.96 IN   0152 PM 09/29
FREEDOM                        0.52 IN   0700 AM 09/29
...BIG HORN... 0.9 N GREYBULL 0.30 IN 0700 AM 09/29 2.4 SSW LOVELL 0.29 IN 0700 AM 09/29 GREYBULL AIRPORT 0.28 IN 0553 AM 09/29 BASIN 0.28 IN 0800 AM 09/29 11 ESE LOVELL 0.23 IN 0115 PM 09/29 BASIN 0.20 IN 0140 PM 09/29 BASIN 0.18 IN 0115 PM 09/29 LOVELL 0.18 IN 0200 PM 09/29 SHELL 0.17 IN 0536 AM 09/29 5 ENE HYATTVILLE 0.16 IN 0152 PM 09/29 DEAVER - COOP 0.11 IN 0700 AM 09/29 ...FREMONT... N. FORK LITTLE WIND RIVER 4.15 IN 0145 PM 09/29 MIDDLE FORK POPO AGIE RIVER 2.00 IN 0115 PM 09/29 10 W FORT WASHAKIE 1.90 IN 0101 PM 09/29 4 W MILFORD 1.89 IN 0700 AM 09/29 NORTH FORK POPO AGIE RIVER 1.81 IN 0200 PM 09/29 5.7 SW LANDER 1.74 IN 0700 AM 09/29 CROWHEART 1.71 IN 0153 PM 09/29 N WIND RIVER MTS 1.69 IN 0110 PM 09/29 LANDER AIRPORT 1.61 IN 0553 AM 09/29 10 SE CROWHEART 1.60 IN 0100 PM 09/29 9 SW LANDER 1.60 IN 0100 PM 09/29 11 W CROWHEART 1.56 IN 0145 PM 09/29 LANDER 1.52 IN 0630 AM 09/29 11 N DUBOIS 1.50 IN 1100 AM 09/29 BURRIS 1.46 IN 0630 AM 09/29 7 NW LANDER 1.45 IN 0157 PM 09/29 2.0 NNE LANDER 1.42 IN 0700 AM 09/29 4 SW LANDER 1.40 IN 0154 PM 09/29 8.7 SSE LANDER 1.36 IN 0700 AM 09/29 9 SSE LANDER 1.33 IN 0700 AM 09/29 6.7 SSE LANDER 1.29 IN 0700 AM 09/29 6.0 SE LANDER 1.24 IN 0700 AM 09/29 9.7 WNW DUBOIS 1.15 IN 0700 AM 09/29 HUDSON 1.09 IN 0630 AM 09/29 DUBOIS 1.02 IN 0600 AM 09/29 10 W DUBOIS 1.01 IN 0151 PM 09/29 0.9 W LANDER 1.00 IN 0700 AM 09/29 10 N DUBOIS 0.94 IN 1257 PM 09/29 1.2 WNW LANDER 0.92 IN 0700 AM 09/29 2 S RIVERTON 0.92 IN 0115 PM 09/29 6 NW DUBOIS 0.92 IN 0115 PM 09/29 9.3 SSE LANDER 0.84 IN 0700 AM 09/29 BOYSEN DAM 0.76 IN 0700 AM 09/29 0.3 W LANDER 0.74 IN 0700 AM 09/29 RIVERTON 0.72 IN 0700 AM 09/29 JEFFREY CITY 0.68 IN 0700 AM 09/29 8.1 SW RIVERTON 0.68 IN 0700 AM 09/29 RIVERTON FORECAST OFFICE 0.69 IN 0500 AM 09/29 RIVERTON AIRPORT 0.62 IN 0453 AM 09/29 BOYSEN RESERVOIR 0.60 IN 0130 PM 09/29 7 SW MUDDY GAP 0.59 IN 0150 PM 09/29 SOUTH PASS CITY 0.57 IN 0200 PM 09/29 11 NE RIVERTON 0.53 IN 0158 PM 09/29 SOUTH PASS 0.50 IN 1100 AM 09/29 5 WSW DUBOIS 0.40 IN 1100 AM 09/29 ...HOT SPRINGS... 0.9 SW THERMOPOLIS 0.87 IN 0700 AM 09/29 0.6 S THERMOPOLIS 0.73 IN 0700 AM 09/29 S. FORK OWL CREEK BELOW ANCHOR 0.67 IN 1130 AM 09/29 KIRBY 0.56 IN 0149 PM 09/29 KIRBY 0.50 IN 0650 AM 09/29 10 S MEETEETSE 0.47 IN 0142 PM 09/29 1 WSW THERMOPOLIS 0.35 IN 0201 PM 09/29 ...JOHNSON... 17 NNW KAYCEE 0.40 IN 0700 AM 09/29 20 NW MAYOWORTH 0.39 IN 0100 PM 09/29 23.5 KAYCEE ENE 0.38 IN 0700 AM 09/29 7 SW BARNUM 0.36 IN 0146 PM 09/29 3 SSE BARNUM 0.34 IN 0200 PM 09/29 7 NW MAYOWORTH 0.33 IN 0100 PM 09/29 10 SW KAYCEE 0.31 IN 0100 PM 09/29 4.1 SSW BUFFALO 0.28 IN 0700 AM 09/29 11.9 SSE BUFFALO 0.27 IN 0700 AM 09/29 17 E KAYCEE 0.26 IN 0700 AM 09/29 14 W BUFFALO 0.25 IN 0115 PM 09/29 KAYCEE - COOP 0.25 IN 0700 AM 09/29 BUFFALO 0.23 IN 0510 AM 09/29 8 ENE BUFFALO 0.23 IN 0200 PM 09/29 18 WNW BUFFALO 0.23 IN 0145 PM 09/29 17 E KAYCEE 0.22 IN 0115 PM 09/29 BUFFALO AIRPORT 0.22 IN 0553 AM 09/29 KAYCEE 0.21 IN 0200 PM 09/29 8 S STORY 0.18 IN 0115 PM 09/29 2 NW MAYOWORTH 0.17 IN 0200 PM 09/29 18 NW BUFFALO 0.12 IN 0147 PM 09/29 7 WSW BUFFALO 0.10 IN 0100 PM 09/29 ...NATRONA... 16 S HILAND 0.63 IN 0110 PM 09/29 21 W ALCOVA 0.60 IN 0145 PM 09/29 CASPER MOUNTAIN PORTABLE 0.57 IN 0115 PM 09/29 PATHFINDER RESERVOIR 0.52 IN 0130 PM 09/29 10.7 ESE CASPER 0.51 IN 0700 AM 09/29 4.3 SW CASPER 0.50 IN 0700 AM 09/29 CASPER - N PLATTE RIVER 0.49 IN 0130 PM 09/29 0.7 NW CASPER 0.46 IN 0700 AM 09/29 4.3 WSW CASPER 0.46 IN 0700 AM 09/29 MIDWEST 0.45 IN 0700 AM 09/29 4.4 WSW CASPER 0.44 IN 0700 AM 09/29 4.7 SSW CASPER 0.43 IN 0700 AM 09/29 CASPER AIRPORT 0.43 IN 0553 AM 09/29 0.3 N CASPER 0.42 IN 0700 AM 09/29 1.6 SSW CASPER 0.42 IN 0700 AM 09/29 2.0 ENE CASPER 0.42 IN 0700 AM 09/29 1.6 S CASPER 0.41 IN 0700 AM 09/29 10.9 WSW CASPER 0.41 IN 0700 AM 09/29 1.3 SW CASPER 0.40 IN 0700 AM 09/29 6.7 SSW CASPER 0.40 IN 0700 AM 09/29 POWDER RIVER 0.39 IN 0800 AM 09/29 CASPER - COOP 0.39 IN 0700 AM 09/29 8 S CASPER 0.38 IN 0152 PM 09/29 CASPER - COOP 0.37 IN 0700 AM 09/29 MIDWEST 0.36 IN 0154 PM 09/29 ...PARK... 14 WSW MAMMOTH 1.55 IN 0149 PM 09/29 MAMMOTH 1.13 IN 0115 PM 09/29 3.3 N POWELL 1.08 IN 0700 AM 09/29 19 SSW WAPITI 0.87 IN 0100 PM 09/29 TANTALUS CREEK NEAR NORRIS JUN 0.78 IN 0130 PM 09/29 1 SW CANYON 0.60 IN 0149 PM 09/29 TOWER FALLS 0.54 IN 0115 PM 09/29 6 SW MEETEETSE 0.53 IN 0700 AM 09/29 PARKER PEAK (E. YNP) 0.50 IN 1100 AM 09/29 HOYT PEAK 0.49 IN 0130 PM 09/29 10 WNW CODY 0.45 IN 0140 PM 09/29 PORTABLE RAWS 0.37 IN 0102 PM 09/29 PAHASKA 0.32 IN 0700 AM 09/29 EAST ENTRANCE YELLOWSTONE NP - 0.32 IN 0700 AM 09/29 14 S SYLVAN PASS 0.28 IN 0108 PM 09/29 CHIEF JOSEPH HWY MILE 9 0.26 IN 0112 PM 09/29 PAHASKA 0.22 IN 0100 PM 09/29 3 E PAHASKA 0.22 IN 1257 PM 09/29 25.7 CODY 0.21 IN 0700 AM 09/29 0.8 E CODY 0.19 IN 0700 AM 09/29 3.8 SE CODY 0.19 IN 0700 AM 09/29 WAPITI - COOP 0.19 IN 0700 AM 09/29 4.2 SW POWELL 0.19 IN 0700 AM 09/29 1 WNW POWELL 0.19 IN 0200 PM 09/29 1 WNW CODY 0.18 IN 0700 AM 09/29 5 ESE CODY 0.17 IN 0700 AM 09/29 3 W POWELL 0.17 IN 0159 PM 09/29 2 WSW CODY 0.17 IN 0700 AM 09/29 7.2 SW CODY 0.16 IN 0700 AM 09/29 5 WNW CLARK 0.16 IN 0149 PM 09/29 1.0 SE CODY 0.16 IN 0700 AM 09/29 3.9 ENE POWELL 0.14 IN 0700 AM 09/29 BUFFALO BILL RESERVOIR 0.13 IN 0145 PM 09/29 3 SW RALSTON 0.12 IN 0145 PM 09/29 WAPITI 0.12 IN 0115 PM 09/29 2 N FRANNIE 0.10 IN 0200 PM 09/29 ...SUBLETTE... PINE CREEK ABOVE FREMONT LAKE 3.96 IN 0145 PM 09/29 PORTABLE RAWS 2.99 IN 1255 PM 09/29 21 W BIG PINEY 2.98 IN 0109 PM 09/29 0.7 NNW PINEDALE 2.85 IN 0700 AM 09/29 PINEDALE 2.75 IN 0200 PM 09/29 DANIEL FISH HATCHERY - COOP 2.59 IN 0800 AM 09/29 9 E BIG PINEY 2.55 IN 0100 PM 09/29 10 NNW DANIEL 2.46 IN 0130 PM 09/29 13.8 NW PINEDALE 2.44 IN 0700 AM 09/29 7 NE PINEDALE 2.39 IN 0126 PM 09/29 BONDURANT 2.38 IN 0200 PM 09/29 2 NW BONDURANT 2.34 IN 0151 PM 09/29 15.6 WNW DANIEL 2.00 IN 0700 AM 09/29 13 SE PINEDALE 2.00 IN 0700 AM 09/29 BOULDER REARING STATION - COOP 1.98 IN 0800 AM 09/29 BOULDER LAKE 1.84 IN 0200 PM 09/29 PORTABLE RAWS 1.80 IN 0125 PM 09/29 MARBLETON 1.29 IN 0157 PM 09/29 BIG PINEY AIRPORT 0.97 IN 0553 AM 09/29 14 N FARSON 0.67 IN 0100 PM 09/29 PORTABLE RAWS 0.55 IN 0106 PM 09/29 ...SWEETWATER... 7.6 NNW ROCK SPRINGS 2.23 IN 0700 AM 09/29 FARSON 1.50 IN 0700 AM 09/29 15 SE ROCK SPRINGS 1.41 IN 0144 PM 09/29 FLAMING GORGE - BUCKBOARD MARI 1.30 IN 0745 AM 09/29 0.6 W ROCK SPRINGS 1.27 IN 0700 AM 09/29 GREEN RIVER 1.25 IN 0700 AM 09/29 0.9 S ROCK SPRINGS 1.21 IN 0700 AM 09/29 ROCK SPRINGS AIRPORT 1.13 IN 0554 AM 09/29 1.1 SSE GREEN RIVER 1.10 IN 0700 AM 09/29 0.4 S ROCK SPRINGS 1.10 IN 0700 AM 09/29 15 ESE POINT OF ROCKS 0.99 IN 0200 PM 09/29 3 NE MANILA UT 0.97 IN 0815 AM 09/29 MCKINNON 0.81 IN 0151 PM 09/29 ...TETON... 2.6 SSW WILSON 2.19 IN 0700 AM 09/29 1.6 NE TETON VILLAGE 1.65 IN 0700 AM 09/29 JACKSON 1.64 IN 0145 PM 09/29 JACKSON - COOP 1.52 IN 0900 AM 09/29 3 SSW JACKSON 1.44 IN 0156 PM 09/29 JACKSON 1.36 IN 0158 PM 09/29 HOBACK JUNCTION 1.27 IN 0156 PM 09/29 MOOSE - COOP 1.23 IN 0800 AM 09/29 4 N MOOSE 1.23 IN 1258 PM 09/29 EXTREME SW YELLOWSTONE 1.19 IN 0149 PM 09/29 5.3 JACKSON NW 1.14 IN 0700 AM 09/29 12.2 NE JACKSON 1.09 IN 0700 AM 09/29 0.4 S MOOSE 1.08 IN 0700 AM 09/29 5 S OF SOUTH ENTRANCE YNP 1.07 IN 0145 PM 09/29 ALTA 1.05 IN 0145 PM 09/29 4 W SOUTH ENTRANCE YNP 1.00 IN 0145 PM 09/29 OLD FAITHFUL 0.96 IN 0115 PM 09/29 15 NNE GRAND TARGHEE 0.91 IN 0103 PM 09/29 SOUTH ENTRANCE YNP 0.88 IN 0145 PM 09/29 SNAKE RIVER RANGER STATION 0.85 IN 0800 AM 09/29 SNAKE RIVER AT JACKSON LAKE DA 0.80 IN 0145 PM 09/29 3.5 SSW JACKSON 0.7 IN 0700 AM 09/29 7 E MORAN JCT 0.70 IN 0152 PM 09/29 MORAN 0.66 IN 0730 AM 09/29 PORTABLE RAWS 0.60 IN 0135 PM 09/29 MORAN JUNCTION 0.54 IN 0156 PM 09/29 YELLOWSTONE LAKE 0.48 IN 0556 AM 09/29 1 NNE LAKE 0.44 IN 0100 PM 09/29 ...WASHAKIE... S. BIGHORN MTS 0.48 IN 0140 PM 09/29 14.4 SW WORLAND 0.48 IN 0700 AM 09/29 16 SE BIG TRAILS 0.44 IN 0200 PM 09/29 TENSLEEP 0.44 IN 0700 AM 09/29 WORLAND 0.36 IN 0700 AM 09/29 WORLAND AIRPORT 0.33 IN 0553 AM 09/29 12 ENE TEN SLEEP 0.33 IN 0114 PM 09/29 2.8 NE WORLAND 0.33 IN 0700 AM 09/29 0.3 SSW TENSLEEP 0.31 IN 0700 AM 09/29 7.8 SW WORLAND 0.31 IN 0700 AM 09/29

Friday, September 26, 2014

Very Rainy Weekend

It now appears that conditions are rapidly developing to support a widespread rain event across much of Southeast Idaho and Western Wyoming over the weekend.  A combination of a potent upper low moving inland across California and an unusually strong influx of tropical moisture moving northward through the intermountain states will lead to increasing showers and thunderstorms over the area.

Following is a series of 500 mb Charts showing the progression of the upper low over the weekend.


500mb 6pm Friday Sept 26 2014
500mb 6pm Saturday Sept 27 2014
500mb 6pm Sunday Sept 28 2014
500mb 6pm Monday Sept 29 2014
The precipitable water vapor analysis and forecast shows the moisture transport across the area.

Precipitable water Analysis 6pm Friday Sept 26 2014
Precipitable water forecast 6pm Saturday Sept 27 2014

The question how much rain can be expected out of this system in Star Valley and surrounding areas? First the actual manual forecast from the National Weather Service for the Sat-Mon time period follows.
Forecast for total precipitation from 6pm Friday to 6pm Monday
The axis of greatest forecast precipitation straddles the Wyoming/Idaho border(Star Valley) with totals anywhere from 1.5 to 3 inches!  If this occurs then significant runoff could occur in streams,

Model forecast for precipitation totals from 6pm Friday to 6pm Monday
The man and model forecasts agree that the Wyoming/Idaho border will be the axis of heaviest totals with totals a little less than the man forecast.

One last graphic is the combined model precipitation amounts centered on Star Valley.
Model precipitation from 6pm Friday to 6am Tuesday.

The black line is the mean of several different model forecasts for precipitation.  It suggest that Star Valley will have accumulated around 2 inches by 6am Monday with the heaviest occuring later Saturday to Sunday evening.

The relative warm airmass  precludes any snow except for the very highest  peaks, but runoff  could  be a concern by Sunday.

Thursday, September 25, 2014

Fall Weather Coming this Weekend-VIdeo

The unseasonably warm weather will be coming to an end this weekend, as a wet and cool period commences.  The following is a link to the Riverton Forecast Office weekly weather video discussing the changes.

Weekly Riverton Forecast Office Weather Video

Record Heat Thursday?

It is going to be an unusually warm afternoon this Thursday and likely almost as warm on Friday prior to the arrival of the next Pacific system over the weekend.  Here is a graph produced by the NWS Riverton about temperatures the next two days.


Tuesday, September 23, 2014

2014 Monsoon Season Video

The following link is to a blog on the wonderful video that Mike Olbinski created for the Monsoon season in the Southwestern states, particularly Arizona.


2014 Monsoon Video

This Monsoon season produced record August rains over much of western Wyoming!

Saturday, September 20, 2014

Mt.Everest Its Weather and Challenges.

 For those who enjoy and pursue the summits in Wyoming, this should be of much interest.


Extreme Weather: The Weather of the Summit of Mt. Everest

By: Christopher C. Burt , 6:04 AM GMT on May 21, 2011
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Extreme Weather: The Weather of the Summit of Mt. Everest

On May 11th, Nepali climber Apa Sherpa (a resident of Salt Lake City, Utah) made his 21st successful ascent of Mt. Everest, breaking his own record for the most such by any mountaineer. There is a small window of time used by most climbers for the ascent of the world’s tallest mountain (for now with an official elevation of 29,028’/8848 meters—but measured at 29,035’/8850 meters by the National Geographic Society in 1999). That window of opportunity is the month of May when the jet stream normally shifts to the north of the Himalayan Range and relaxes its icy blast on the summit. In fact, all but three of Apa’s successful climbs of the mountain were accomplished during May.



Mr. Apa Sherpa has reached the summit of Mt. Everest every single year since 1990 except for 1996, 1997, and 2001, a total of twenty-one times. This must be one of the most amazing human feats ever achieved.




Mt. Everest, the tallest mountain in the world at an official 29,028’/8848 meters (it is rising about 2mm each year and the National Geographic Society claims the actual height was 29,035’/8850m as of 1999). The retreating Khumba Glacier, in the foreground, has been a focus of concern so far as the climate change debate is concerned. Photo from Agence France Presse.

Mount Everest literally scrapes the top of the troposphere and for those who wish to climb to such heights the weather, of course, is the single most important factor regardless of the equipment or physical condition of an expedition. Every May hundreds of climbers line up to attempt such an ascent during the special ‘window of opportunity’ that the weather provides at this time.

Summit Wind

The average atmospheric pressure for the summit of the peak is 346mb, not far from the standard 300mb elevation atmospheric chart used to track the position and speed of the jet stream on the planet. During the winter months of November through March the jet stream normally will be flowing in the vicinity of the Himalayas if not directly over them (around 28°N latitude). February has reported the highest summit wind speeds, estimated at 175mph (78 meters per second) as was the case on February 6, 2004. This is believed to be approximately the maximum wind speed to be expected on the summit. Between Oct. 20 and the end of February the summit experiences an average of three out of four days with hurricane force (75mph) or stronger winds. Obviously, it is impossible for someone to stand on the summit in such a wind, so any Everest winter expedition has to be extremely lucky to make it to the top.

As the jet stream drifts to the north in March and April the winds diminish and by the end of May there are even times of absolute calm on the peak (although rare!). As a rule of thumb, climbers plan to summit as long as the wind is blowing under 35mph (15 meters per second). Looking at the GFS 300mb chart below for 12Z May 19th we see the wind was blowing at about 20knts (25mph) at the summit level at that time and so perhaps making for a good climbing opportunity (as long as the skies were clear). The summit winds normally stay relatively light throughout the summer months before ratcheting up again in late October as the jet stream slips southward again.



The 300mb GFS northern hemisphere map for 12Z on May 19, 2011. Looks like a good climbing day so far as the wind at summit level is concerned, although a jet impulse to the south may be cause for concern. This a northern hemisphere view with the North Pole at the center of the map and looking south (in all directions) from that perspective.

Summit Precipitation

The actual summit of Mt. Everest probably receives very little precipitation being above the usual condensation/precipitable elevation, and what little that does fall (as snow of course) is usually blown clear of the summit. The Base Camp for climbing expeditions is located at an elevation of 17,600’/5400m and receives an average annual precipitation of 18” (450mm). 



This map shows the normal climbing route used from the Everest Base Camp to the mountain summit.

Most of the precipitation (at least 80%) falls during the summer monsoon season of June-September. May is usually still dry and thus the other major factor (aside from wind) in making this the most popular month for climbing in the region. The Everest Base Camp lies to the northwest of Mt. Everest itself and is in something of a rain shadow since it is the southerly monsoon flow that provides the bulk of the precipitation that falls in the Himalayas. The area to the southeast of Mt. Everest probably receives as much as 100” (2500mm) of precipitation in favored valleys and ridges below 10,000’ (3,000m).




Maps displaying the topography and annual average precipitation of Nepal. Mt. Everest is located in the very northeast of the country on the border of Tibet.

Summit Temperatures

There is no weather station on the summit of Mt. Everest. The highest meteorological observatory in the area is situated on the South Col at an altitude of 16,568’/5,050m but climbers often carry thermometers on expeditions and we have a general idea of the temperature trends. At no time does the temperature ever rise above freezing. The warmest months, July and August, seem to average around -2°F-0°F (-16°C to -18°C) during the night and perhaps a few degrees above this during the day. I would speculate that the warmest temperature to ever be reached on the summit to be in the 10-15°F (range -10°C to -12°C) on still and sunny days. The coldest months are December-February, with January night temperatures averaging -33°F (-36°C) and the daytime just a couple of degrees warmer if at all. The coldest temperature actually measured on the summit was in February 2003 with a -41.8°F (-41°C) reading. There have been some published reports speculating that the absolute minimum temperature may fall as low as -76°F (-60°C). This seems reasonable when Siberian air spills over the Tibetan Plateau and Himalayan Range. During the peak climbing months of May and October the summit temperature averages -13° to -17°F (-25° to -27°C). The lowest wind chill temperatures are irrelevant since there is little effect beyond wind speeds of 40mph, which are ubiquitous on the summit, and the temperature is almost always below zero Fahrenheit (i.e. the wind chill factor in high wind is ‘off the scale’ well below -100°F).



The highest weather observatory in the Mt. Everest region is the so-called Pyramid site located on the mountain’s South Col at an elevation of 16,568’/5,050m and its real-time data may be found herePyramid Site. Apparently a new research project is underway as I write this to establish a weather observatory at an even higher altitude by this team.

Obviously, climbing Mt. Everest is no small feat even for the most experienced climbers (except perhaps for the amazing Mr. Apa Sherpa!). Although some 100 manage to do it every year recently, there are also over 120 unrecovered corpses still littering the mountain’s slopes.



The staggering beauty of the Himalayas is Nepal’s greatest attraction, not just for serious climbers but mountain trekkers as well. Photo by Serge Holmstice.

Thursday, September 18, 2014

Caught on Cam

The Star Valley Ranch Cam caught a vivid cloud to ground lightning strike at 6:24 pm September 18 2014.  The strike was in the Caribou mountains to the west of the valley.


Monday, September 15, 2014

Hurricane Odile Devastates Cabo San Lucas

The most intense Hurricane on record made a direct hit on the south end of Baja California Sunday night.  Early reports indicate there was a devastating impact on the resort town of Cabo San Lucas which was in the path of the Category 3 Hurricane.

Water Vapor Image Sunday night as Odile strikes Cabo San Lucas

Due to power and communication outages, some of the storm damage reports are just coming in.



Here is a link to a story on the impact as of mid day Monday,




Friday, September 12, 2014

Cold and Snow Summary for Wyoming

The following is a summary of the strong cold front that affected all of Wyoming.  While Star Valley escaped the snow, temperatures dipped to the coldest since last Spring.  Both Thayne ES and Double LL Ranch tied for the coldest valley locations with 18F Friday morning.

UPDATED: September 11th Winter Storm Summary...Now with the latest snow and low temperature reports.




The National Weather Service
Building a Weather-Ready Nation



Winter Storm Summary Banner


A rare September snowstorm impacted areas east of the Divide Wednesday night and Thursday (9/11).  The Bighorn Mountains, Buffalo and the Cody Foothills were hardest hit from this storm.  Major tree damage and power outages occurred in Buffalo where 7 to as much as 10 inches of heavy wet snow occurred.  Here is a YouTube Video showing the aftermath of the storm in Buffalo.  This was earliest recorded snowfall for Cody with records going back to 1915 (15 years were missing).  Before this snowstorm the earliest snowfall for Cody was September 12th, 1970, when 8 inches of snow fell.  Although Buffalo has considerable missing historical data, the earliest snowfall on record occurred on September 6, 1929, when 1 inch of snow fell.  However this should be the heaviest recorded snowfall so early in the season for Buffalo.  Below are several pictures across northern and central Wyoming.
A winter wonderland in Cody - Click to enlargeDeep snow in Buffalo - Click to enlarge.
 Winter Wonderland in Cody
(photo courtsey of 
Gretchen Papka)
Deep Snow at French Creek near Buffalo
(photo courtsey of Julie Smith)
Tree damage in Buffalo - Click to enlargePowder River Pass in a snow storm - Click to enlarge
Tree Damage in Buffalo
(photo courtsey of Chris Hattings)
  Slick and hazardous travel over Powder River Pass in the Bighorn Mountains
(photo courtsey of Peggy Peterson)
Snow on Casper Mountain - Click to enlarge. First snowman of winter 2014-2015 (summer 2014) in Sheridan - Click to enlarge
 Snow on Casper Mountain
(photo courtsey of 
Hogadon Trails Center)
  First snowman of winter 2014-2015 (summer 2014)
in Sheridan
(photo courtsey of Jami Mclean)
 

Banner image

 See all the latest snowfall reports here.

Snow Map - Click to enlarge

Snowfall Totals
CountyLocationSnowfall
Big HornShell Creek Snotel16
Big HornBone Springs Divide Snotel10
Big HornBald Mountain Snotel7
CountyLocationSnowfall
FremontCastle Creek Snotel2
FremontSt. Lawrence Alt Snotel2
FremontLittle Warm Snotel1
FremontSouth Pass Snotel1
Fremont15 SW Lander1
FremontRiverton Airport0.3
FremontRiverton0.3
CountyLocationSnowfall
Hot SpringsOwl Creek Snotel2
CountyLocationSnowfall
JohnsonLittle Goose Snotel20
JohnsonCloud Peak Reservoir Snotel13
JohnsonSoldier Park Snotel12
JohnsonHansen Sawmill Snotel11
JohnsonBuffalo7 to 10
JohnsonBear Trap Meadow Snotel3
Johnson17 NNW Kaycee5
JohnsonKaycee0.1
CountyLocationSnowfall
NatronaCasper Mountain4.3
NatronaCasper Mountain Snotel4
NatronaReno Hill Snotel4
Natrona11 ESE Casper2.8
Natrona2 S Casper2.3
Natrona4 WSW Casper1.6
NatronaCasper0.4-1.5
Natrona10 WSW Casper1
NatronaGrave Spring Snotel1
CountyLocationSnowfall
ParkBlackwater Snotel8
Park5 E Cody7
ParkMarquette Snotel7
ParkKirwin Snotel6
ParkTimber Creek Snotel6
ParkWolverine Snotel6
ParkEvening Star Snotel6
ParkBeartooth Lake Snotel5
ParkCody3 to 5
ParkMeeteetse3 to 5
Park4 SE Cody4
Park26 SW Cody3
Park3 NE Sunshine3
ParkWapiti1-3
ParkCrandall Creek3
Park1 NE Wapiti1
ParkPahaska1
CountyLocationSnowfall
SubletteElkhart Park G.S. Snotel3
SubletteNew Fork Lake Snotel2
SubletteKendall Ranger Station Snotel1
SubletteBig Sandy Opening Snotel1
CountyLocationSnowfall
TetonGros Ventre Summit Snotel1
TetonTogwotee Pass Snotel1
CountyLocationSnowfall
WashakiePowder River Pass Snotel4
Washakie5 NNW Ten Sleep2
WashakieMiddle Powder Snotel1
CountyLocationSnowfall
YellowstoneParker Peak Snotel4
YellowstoneThumb Divide Snotel1
YellowstoneLewis Lake Divide Snotel1

Cold Temps Banner
A widespread freeze occurred across western and central Wyoming in wake of this rare mid-September snowstorm.  If the volunteer observer in Buffalo comes in with a low in the teens similar to the low at Buffalo Airport (19 degrees) it will be the earliest Buffalo has dipped into the teens since records began in 1899.  WOW! See all the latest morning low temperature reportshere.
Map of Observed Minimum Temperatures for the morning of Friday September 12th.


Low Temperatures through 12 PM 9/12

Location

Low Temperature °F on Sept 12, 2014

Record Low °F for Sept 12th

 Period of Record

Airports (unless otherwise noted)
Big Piney1717 in 20011976 - 2014
Buffalo1934 in 19991998 - 2014
Buffalo Town??24 in 19021899 - 2014
Casper2529 in 19491939 - 2014
Greybull3032 in 19991998 - 2014
Lander3126 in 19021891 - 2014
Lake Yellowstone1825 in 20121998 - 2014
Jackson18N/A
Riverton2838 in 20031997 - 2014
Riverton Town2828 in 19511907 - 2014
Rock Springs2126 in 19511948 - 2014
Worland2931 in 19741960 - 2014